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Uncertainty estimation in diagnosis generation from large language models: Next-word probability is not pre-Test probability

  • Yanjun Gao
  • , Skatje Myers
  • , Shan Chen
  • , Dmitriy Dligach
  • , Timothy Miller
  • , Danielle S. Bitterman
  • , Guanhua Chen
  • , Anoop Mayampurath
  • , Matthew M. Churpek
  • , Majid Afshar
  • University of Colorado School of Medicine
  • University of Wisconsin-Madison
  • Harvard Medical School
  • Brigham and Women's Hospital
  • Boston Children's Hospital
  • University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Original languageEnglish
Article numberooae154
JournalJAMIA Open
Volume8
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 2025

ASJC Scopus Subject Areas

  • Health Informatics

Keywords

  • diagnostic uncertainty
  • electronic health records
  • large language models
  • machine learning

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